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Daniel Godfrey's avatar

Great read, cheers for sharing.

When you are differing between an investment and a technical setup, what sort of analysis will you want to do before investing in a company versus a mid time frame trade? Do you do your own DCF work / look at any main metrics such as roic/management team/multiples?

Keep up the good work

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

When it comes to midterm swings, the main idea is to protect myself against offerings, toxic share structure and similar. I do not want my position to gap down massively. It is more the matter to try and have a good company.

When it comes to the long term, I only buy what I consider to be businesses with strong moats (which I counterbalance with the multiples I have to pay). Ideally the business I buy on this side has an indestructible moat, is founder-led, isnt leveraged, has a big TAM to grow into, knows how to deploy capital at a high return rate, has no concentration risk within its earnings...

Different approaches somewhat but ideally I can find a stock for the first category of trade that is as high-grade as the second part.

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Daniel Godfrey's avatar

Excellent, thanks for the reply. Just starting to dabble in investing with day trade profits, really love the above philosophy you have outlined. I saw you bought LULU today, that was one I have been looking to buy just waiting to pull trigger down here. Love the product, brand name -> pricing power they have with the near 60% gm. Plenty of global market to grow into, good ROIC. Hopefully they can follow the likes of a NKE and be an above average top line compounder for the next 10+ years at 7/8% cagr

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Ben's avatar

Hell yeah Lukas

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Rohit's avatar

Big Fan!

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Glad to hear it!

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Brett In Denver's avatar

Great Article

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Thank you Brett

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