10 Comments
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Bonamigo's avatar

Great post, thanks!

One question that comes to mind is how can I balance sizing up during good times with overconfidence? I feel like it is a challenge to size up without bumping my confidence with it.

Also, would love to see a post of your thoughts on soft data (looking at charts, keeping mental/physical notes about it etc) vs hard data (actual data tracking, percentage calcs etc)

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Confidence is needed and what you get from good trading. Good trading leads to sizing up.

Overconfidence is something that comes from ego boosting and moving from the proven edge and data to your opinion.

Taking a big loss through overconfidence will happen, there is no perfect answer. It’s why you have to build in fail safe in the routine to make sure you did do your prep and are trading off an edge.

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Retail Capital Trading's avatar

Probably the best trading article I read this year. Absolutely feel that and have been working a lot on stabilizing the confidence to avoid the downfalls the last 6 months. Great job and thank you

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Thank you!

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Simon's avatar

Thanks Lukas. Please more on your journey, you greatest heights and step forwards aswell as your darkest valleys. Would really like to know the 5 best and worst key situations and their main key takeaways in your entire trading journey.

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Alright.

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Mikephlurry's avatar

Your articles get better and better Lukas. Thanks for the write up on emotional regulation. Trader psychology is one of the biggest differentiators between success and failure. Agree with all the points here. No matter how far one gets in their trading career, they will always need to self observe because we aren't built to be robotic.

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THE SHORT BEAR's avatar

Thank you for the kind words!

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DemNutdnanai's avatar

Another great blog, thanks lukus

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CookCL's avatar

Another great topic. I can definitely relate again. I've been stuck in a big under-confidence cycle for quite a while now, so hopefully some of these thoughts can help guide me out of it. Will read through this one a few times as it feels like I'm doing most of these things already, but I'm sure there's some improvements I can extract from this. Thanks!

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